Comex gold futures edged down on Thursday on a weaker dollar after the US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged.

Comex gold futures moved perfectly in line with our expectations. As mentioned earlier, any corrective dips could find support and edge higher again. Such corrective dips are needed for this healthy uptrend to sustain and continue pushing higher.

The big picture has clearly signalled a reversal in trend to bullish before it was languishing in the $1,200 per ounce range earlier. A potential target lies at $1,450-55 levels being an equality target.

As expected, we saw prices testing supports in the $1,305-10 range, being a rising trend line and rising higher from there. Initial resistance is seen at $1,345 followed by stronger resistance at $1,355-60 levels now.

Ideally, prices could push higher further towards $1,400 levels or even higher in the coming sessions. Only an unexpected fall below $1,310 could postpone the bullishness and such a fall could see prices testing $1,275 levels but, it could once again find good support there.

Favoured view still expects prices to be find support around the $1,325-30 levels and then edge higher towards important resistances around $1,400 followed by $1,435-50 levels.

Wave counts: It is most likely that the fall from the record $1,925 to the recent low of $1,088 so far, was either a possible corrective wave “A”, with a possibility to even extend towards $1,025-30 levels or a complete correction of A-B-C ending with this decline.

Subsequently, to this decline, a corrective wave “B” could unfold with targets near $1,375 or even higher. After that, a wave “C” could begin lower again.

Alternatively, we can also expect wave “B” to extend to $1,476 levels. If the current decline as a whole from $1,920 can be considered as a fourth wave, then the fifth wave could begin and cross $1,700 in the long-term. As prices have broken certain important resistances and shows impulsive tendencies, we will now stick with the above count.

And as mentioned earlier, once prices reach $1,025-45 levels we will look for any signs of reversal. There are signs of a turnaround, and prices convincingly risen in volumes and closed above $1,300 levels, which further reaffirms our wave count. RSI is in the neutral zone now indicating a possible downside correction in the offing.

The averages in MACD are above the zero line of the indicator again, indicating a bullish reversal. Only a cross over again below the zero line could hint at a reversal in trend to bearish.

Therefore, buy Comex gold on dips to $1,325-30 with stop-loss at $1,308 targeting $1,360 followed by 1,400.

Supports are at $1,305, 1,285 and 1,270 and Resistances are at $1,345, 1,378 and 1,435.

The writer is the Director of Commtrendz Research. There is risk of loss in trading.

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