There are several strategies you can set up when you expect an underlying to move within a range in the near term. These strategies typically gain from time decay and delta. This week, we discuss one such advanced strategy called time butterfly.
A time butterfly (also called time fly) involves the same strike across different time periods. Take the 23800 strike on the Nifty Index. A long time butterfly involves going short one contract of the near-week strike, long two contracts of the middle-week strike and short one contract of the farther-week strike.
If you were to break this position into two component positions, you will notice that there are two calendar spreads within the time butterfly. First is a long calendar spread that is long the middle-week expiry and short the near-week expiry. The second is a short calendar spread that is short the farther-week expiry and long the middle-week expiry.
The long time butterfly is a net debit spread. Suppose you set up a time butterfly for a net debit of 34 points with December 26/January 2/January 9 expiry with the Nifty Index at 23753. The position would benefit the most when the middle week contract becomes in-the-money (ITM) after the near-week contract expires worthless. The long time butterfly benefits from time decay on the near-week expiry and from delta gains (often through intrinsic value) from the middle-week expiry. Note that the farther-week contract will gather losses, as it will also move into ITM along with the middle-week contract. The position generates net gains because of the ratio spread (two long contracts to one short contract).
Suppose the near-week contract expires worthless and then the Nifty Index moves to 24000 three days before the expiry of the middle-week contract. Then, the 23800 middle-week contract could be worth 254 for a total of 508. The 23800 farther-week contract could be worth 370. Total gains from the position could be 104 points (508 less 370 less 34)
If the near-week contract is close to expiry, you could set up a time butterfly with the lower strike being the next-week expiry; for instance, January 2/January 9 and January 16 strikes for a net debit of 32 points. If the Nifty Index were to move to 24000 three days before the expiry of the middle-week contract, the farther-week expiry could be worth 449 points. Therefore, the spread could be worth 259 points (740 less 449 less 32).
You must consider two important factors before setting up a time butterfly. Firstly, the farther the expiry, the lower its liquidity (January 16 strike will be less liquid than January 9 strike). You must avoid setting up the position if the implied volatility of the farther-week expiry is low compared to the near-week expiry. Secondly, the position will attract margins because of the two short outer strikes. Finally, note that most traders often prefer to instead set up a simple calendar spread.
The author offers training programmes for individuals to manage their personal investments
Published on December 28, 2024
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