The paper industry is ready for the next round of capacity expansion but for raw material security. Pulp wood shortage impacts competitiveness, according to Saurabh Bangur, President, Indian Paper Mills Association.

Bangur told BusinessLine the industry sees expansion potential in tissue paper and packaging boards.

In the last round of investments between 2006 and 2015, paper mills had added over 3 million tonnes of annual production capacity in printing and writing paper at an investment of about $5 billion.

The expansion, which took total production capacity to 12 mt, has been absorbed by the market. The total annual domestic demand for paper, including newsprint, is about 15 mt, according to industry estimates.

Tissue paper demand is estimated at a little over 100,000 tonnes a year, but growing at nearly 17 per cent, while packaging board demand is estimated at 7.5 mt and growing at 9.4 per cent.

Printing and writing paper demand is estimated at about 4.6 mt and growing at about 5 per cent. The overall demand is growing at about 6 per cent a year, and as of now, there is no greenfield or brownfield expansions in the pipeline though a few, including West Coast Paper of which Bangur is the Vice-Chairman, are mulling plans, he said.

Paper from ASEAN countries is produced from raw wood available at about $40 a tonne compared with mills here sourcing raw material at $110. There is a 2-mt shortage of pulp wood against an annual demand of about 11 mt.

IPMA estimates in the last five years shows imports of paper and boards have grown at a CAGR of 16 per cent to over ₹7,014 crore in 2015-16 (1.11 mt) from ₹3,411 crore in 2010-11 (0.54 mt).

The Association has been pushing the government for a policy to allow access to degraded forest land for paper mills to raise pulp wood plantations.

Land can be with state-run forest corporations with plantations raised by the industry.

This could be a revenue sharing model, he felt. Mills are also partnering with farmers to raise farm forests. Other than this, options are limited.

A couple of mills have attempted to raise plantations overseas in South-East Asia, but this model is yet to be proven. It is capital- intensive and not for everyone, Bangur said.

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