Agri Business

Monsoon deficit 15% with more than a month to go

Vinson Kurian Thiruvananthapuram | Updated on March 12, 2018


Overall monsoon deficit has come down to 15 per cent with one-and-a-half months left for the season to end.

Incidentally, this is the final deficit figure that India Meteorological Department (IMD) expects the four-month season would leave behind.


The situation is comfortable, relatively speaking, over Central India where the deficit has been brought down to single deficit (nine per cent) as on Monday.

Northwest India too managed to do considerable catching-up with the early push of the monsoon returning appreciable gains.

The deficit here has since been brought down to 29 per cent from the seasonal highs that ranged from of 40 to 50 per cent.

The situation over peninsular India too has undergone some change for the better, with the latest deficit figure reading 17 per cent.

East and northeast India, where the monsoon was initially active, seems to have suffered late reverses.


The deficit here has risen to 13 per cent lately from a low of six per cent.

On Tuesday, a low-pressure area was active over northwest Madhya Pradesh and adjacent Gujarat, raining it down.

But the system would not venture further into Gujarat; it would head north-northwest into Rajasthan before weakening.

Elsewhere, a fresh low-pressure area in the North Bay of Bengal promises to bring another round of rain over east-central and adjoining east India.

Later, the system is seen heading towards Uttar Pradesh and parts of Bihar. Some very heavy precipitation is forecast over Uttar Pradesh beginning this weekend.


Meanwhile, a northwest Pacific storm, Kai-Tak, located just to the east of Philippines, is forecast to intensify into a typhoon (cyclone) and hit south China coast.

This would expectedly trigger a monsoon rally along the west coast, with rains peaking over the north Kerala coast by Friday.

Some of the high-ranges bordering the state had witnessed cloudburst conditions a few days ago, killing nine and damaging property worth over Rs 100 crore.


Published on August 14, 2012

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