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India’s CPI Retail Inflation Highlights: Retail inflation dips to 2.82% in May, lowest since Feb 2019

India’s Retail Inflation 2025, Retail Inflation outlook for May 2025 Highlights: Retail inflation based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) dipped to 2.82 per cent in May as against 3.16 per cent in April, government reported on Thursday. May’s headline number is the lowest year-on-year inflation since February 2019.

By Team BL

Updated - June 12, 2025 at 09:21 PM.
Bank symbol with with coins stack. Concepts of the banking system, rising interest rates, inflation, deflation, and savings. istock photo for BL

Bank symbol with with coins stack. Concepts of the banking system, rising interest rates, inflation, deflation, and savings. istock photo for BL | Photo Credit: iStockphoto

India’s Retail Inflation 2025, Retail Inflation outlook for May 2025 updates: Track all the highlights here

  • 21:14 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: Retail inflation dips to 6-year low of 2.82% in May

    Retail inflation dips to 6-year low of 2.82% in May

    Retail inflation based on CPI dips to 2.82% in May due to declining food prices, unlikely prompting rate cut in August.

  • 17:09 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: Housing inflation for May was observed at 3.16 per cent as compared with 3.06 per cent in April

  • 17:06 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: Education inflation rate in May stood at 4.12% as against 4.13 per cent of April

    Year-on-year Education inflation rate for the month of May is 4.12 per cent as against 4.13 per cent of April. It is combined education inflation for both rural and urban sector.

  • 17:05 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: Benign core-core prints point to economic slack, backing recent moves to front-load monetary and liquidity stimulus, says DBS Bank Economist

    RADHIKA RAO, SENIOR ECONOMIST, DBS BANK, SINGAPORE “India’s inflation came in close to our expectations in May, below 3%, softest since mid-2019. Selected perishable food groups were up modestly on sequential basis but moderated on annual terms, aiding the headline.”

    “Benign core-core prints point to economic slack, backing recent moves to front-load monetary and liquidity stimulus. Monsoon developments warrant attention, after progress stalled after an early onset. For the full year, we expect inflation to average below 4%, aligning with our core-core measures.” - Reuters

  • 17:01 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: May CPI inflation came in closer to our expectation led by continued benign food prices, says Elara Securities Economist

    GARIMA KAPOOR, ECONOMIST, INSTITUTIONAL EQUITIES, ELARA SECURITIES, MUMBAI “May CPI inflation came in closer to our expectation led by continued benign food prices. We expect CPI inflation to undershoot RBI’s fiscal year 2026 projection of 3.7% by 20 odd basis points (bps). As such, prospect of another 25 bps rate cut stay alive.”- Reuters

  • 16:59 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: Significant decline in headline and food inflation in rural sector observed in May.

    Significant decline in headline and food inflation in rural sector observed in May. The headline inflation is 2.59 per cent in May while the same was 2.92 per cent in April. Food inflation in rural sector is observed as 0.95 in May in comparison to 1.85 per cent in April.

  • 16:58 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation live updates: Fall in food prices main factor behind the decline

    Significant decline in headline inflation and food inflation during the month of May, 2025, is mainly attributed to decline in inflation of pulses & products, vegetables, fruits, cereals & products, households goods & services, sugar & confectionary and egg and the favourable base effect.

  • 16:57 | June 12, 2025

    India’s retail inflation cools down

    Year-on-year inflation rate based on All India Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) for the month of May, 2025 over May, 2024 is 0.99 per cent. Corresponding inflation rate for rural and urban are 0.95 per cent and 0.96 per cent respectively. A sharp decline of 79 basis point is observed in food inflation in May, 2025 in comparison to April, 2025. The food inflation in May, 2025 is the lowest after October, 2021.

  • 16:54 | June 12, 2025

    Retail inflation dips to 2.82% in May, lowest since Feb 2019

    Consumer Price Index: Retail inflation dips to 2.82% in May, lowest since Feb 2019

    Retail inflation based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) dipped to 2.82 per cent in May as against 3.16 per cent in April, government reported on Thursday

  • 14:07 | June 12, 2025

    Retail inflation live news updates: India’s retail inflation likely declined further to 2.7% in May: BoB Report

    The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India, is likely to release the official Consumer Price Index (CPI) data later in the day. In April, CPI inflation was 3.16 per cent. The report highlighted that expected moderation was largely led by a decline in food inflation, offering some relief to consumers and policymakers alike. This projection signals continued stability in domestic price levels and reflects the impact of improving food supply conditions.

  • 13:14 | June 12, 2025

    Inflation Live News Updates: Retail inflation likely to have dipped further in May

    Retail inflation for May is likely to be below 3 per cent. Official data are to be out on Thursday and if the print is below 3 per cent, it will be so for the first time since April 2019.

    Retail inflation likely to have dipped further in May

    May retail inflation likely below 3%. All hopes have been pinned to monsoon this year.

  • 12:30 | June 12, 2025

    Retail Inflation Live Updates: Mondelez International says Indian consumer spending shifted due to inflationary pressures

    Snacks major Mondelez International said that inflationary pressures impacted Indian consumer spending which led to slower growth in categories such as chocolates. The company added that it expects to see an acceleration in its India business due to factors including government measures. Amidst an unprecedented rise witnessed in cocoa prices, the company said it is also working to offer products at the right price in emerging markets like India while protecting key price points.

    Mondelez International says Indian consumer spending shifted due to inflationary pressures

    Mondelez International faces inflationary pressures in India impacting consumer spending, focusing on growth through government measures and pricing strategies.

  • 11:20 | June 12, 2025

    Retail inflation updates: Private consumption in India slows in Q4 FY25; fiscal deficit met, but revenue collections see soft start to FY26: BoB Report

    Private consumption in the Indian economy moderated slightly in the fourth quarter of FY25, according to a recent report by Bank of Baroda.

    The report added that the real private consumption spending grew by 5.9 per cent in Q4FY25, a marginal dip from 6.2 per cent growth recorded in Q4FY24.

    Meanwhile, government consumption also registered a contraction, declining by 1.8 per cent in Q4FY25 compared to a strong 6.6 per cent rise in the same quarter last year.The report said “Private consumption spending in Q4 (real) moderated marginally to 5.9 per cent in Q4FY25 from 6.2 per cent in Q4FY24; while government consumption registered contraction”

    As of May 2025, the report highlighted that the consumption demand in the country presents a mixed picture, based on high-frequency indicators.

    It stated that while non-oil-non-gold and electronic imports have shown improvement, indicating positive momentum in select segments, key indicators such as auto sales, steel consumption, and power demand have witnessed a slower pace of growth. - ANI

  • 10:32 | June 12, 2025

    Extreme poverty in India down to 5.3% in 2022-23: World Bank

    India’s extreme poverty rate declined sharply to 5.3 per cent over a decade from 27.1 per cent in 2011-12 even as the World Bank revised upwards its threshold poverty line to $3 per day.

    Given India’s inflation rate between 2017 and 2021, a revised extreme poverty line of $3 would constitute a 15 per cent higher threshold than $2.15 expressed in 2021 prices and result in a 5.3 per cent poverty rate in 2022-23, the World Bank said in a report.

    As against 34 crore people below poverty line ($3/per day) in 2011-12, the numbers have come down to 7.5 crore in 2022-23 in absolute numbers.

    Extreme poverty in India down to 5.3% in 2022-23: World Bank

    World Bank report shows India's significant reduction in poverty, lifting 171 million people from extreme poverty in a decade.

  • 09:21 | June 12, 2025

    Retail Inflation Live updates: Global trends, inflation data, FII trading activity to drive market sentiments this week: Analysts

    Equity investors would track global market trends, inflation data and trading activity of foreign investors for further cues this week, analysts said.

    Moreover, progress of monsoon and developments related to trade talks would also be monitored by investors, experts noted.

    “Going forward, market participants will focus on key macroeconomic data for further cues. High-frequency indicators such as CPI inflation will be closely tracked to gauge demand trends and the central bank’s next steps. Additionally, the progress of monsoon and sowing patterns will be monitored due to their implications for rural consumption,” Ajit Mishra -- SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd -- said.

    Global trends, inflation data, FII trading activity to drive market sentiments this week: Analysts

    Equity investors to monitor global trends, inflation data, and foreign trading activity for market cues this week.

  • 08:19 | June 12, 2025

    Retail Inflation Live Updates: Editorial. Fiscal challenges

    Recent data released by the Controller General of Accounts reveals that the Centre has managed to meet the revised target for fiscal deficit for FY25, retaining it at 4.8 per cent of GDP. But achieving this target was obviously not a cakewalk, given the dip in corporate profitability and weakness in several segments of the economy in FY25. This is evident in provisional tax revenue falling short by 2.3 per cent compared to the revised estimates.

    Read more here:

    ​​

    Fiscal challenges

    Revenue stress should not translate into capex cut

    ​​

  • 07:37 | June 12, 2025

    May Retail Inflation Live Updates: RBI slashes interest rates, but who will borrow?

    The central bank is rolling out aggressive monetary easing to revive consumption and investment in the world’s fifth-largest economy, but the pay-off hinges on whether banks ramp up credit and companies want to take on more debt in uncertain economic conditions.

    RBI slashes interest rates, but who will borrow?

    RBI aggressively eases monetary policy to boost India's economy, focusing on SMEs and rural sectors for growth.

  • 07:02 | June 12, 2025

    Retail Inflation Live Updates: World Bank cuts India’s growth forecast by 40 bps to 6.3%

    The Wold Bank on Tuesday lowered India’s economic growth forecast by 40 basis points (bps) for the current fiscal (FY26). India would still retain the tag of the fastest-growing economy in the world, said the multilateral institution.

    World Bank cuts India’s growth forecast by 40 bps to 6.3%

    World Bank lowers India's growth forecast for FY26, but still projects it as the fastest-growing economy at 6.3%.

Published on June 12, 2025

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