Distribution the weakest link in India’s power sector: IEEFA

The precarious financial health of discoms, coupled with lack of competition, is undermining India’s power distribution and generation sectors and hindering much-needed new investment in renewable energy, according to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA).

Published by IEEFA, the new note is the third in a series highlighting reforms needed across India’s power sector to enable the country to reach its ambitious and much-needed renewable energy target of 450 gigawatts (GW) by 2030.

The note titled ‘India’s Power Distribution Sector Needs Further Reform’, says the power distribution sector is the weakest link in the entire value chain of the Indian power sector.

IEEFA energy analyst Vibhuti Garg says state-owned discoms continue to suffer huge financial losses which is a problem because they control the distribution of quality and reliable power to Indian households and businesses, a critical pre-requisite to sustained economic growth in India.

“Discom reforms such as UDAY were initially encouraging but the tariff gap and losses have rebounded in the last two years,” says Garg.

Discoms are once again failing to meet long-outstanding payments to power generators, up to ₹74,900 crore as on December 2019. Further, discoms’ total outstanding debt to banks and financial institutions is a massive ₹2.28-lakh crore in FY2018-19.

Obfuscating the depth of their financial distress, Garg notes discoms are curtailing power received from energy generators, including from zero marginal renewable energy projects they are contractually bound to take.

Further, some state discoms are forcibly renegotiating legally-contracted tariffs, which is introducing sovereign risk to India’s power sector.

“This situation is increasing the risk for power generators, including renewable energy generators and their financial backers,” says Garg.

“Unresolved problems in distribution are compounding existing financial distress in the power generation sector, which is already suffering significant, ongoing stranded asset risk.

“The crippled discom sector must be made profitable, cross-subsidies need to be reduced, and government subsidies better targeted at the poor.

“Introducing competition and other reforms can help with that,” Garg says, and suggests extremely financially distressed discoms to either privatise their operations or the states allow the entry of suitably qualified and/or capitalised private distribution entities willing to invest.

“Increased competition would drive power generators, distributors and electricity supply companies to develop technologies to increase efficiency, lower costs and increase the reliability of supply,” says Garg.

Garg also suggests separating the distribution network as a whole, making discoms responsible for network strengthening while the supply of reliable power should be given to electricity supply companies.

While discoms are being encouraged to install smart meters over the next three years, IEEFA recommends the establishment of a single national technical standard with a longer contract rollout timeframe. Initial ESSL work shows smart meters have strong paybacks from reduced grid losses, improved payment terms (including pre-payments) and improved customer service.

“This would encourage new global investment in domestic Indian manufacturing capacity in support of the “Make in India” strategy,” says Garg.

A third reform revolves around the Direct Benefits Transfer (DBT-P), yet to be introduced. IEEFA notes the programme needs to be more effectively targeted to make it a better costed mechanism for subsidy disbursal.

“India needs to implement these reform measures in the distribution sector as it is the backbone of the electricity industry,” says Garg.

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