July, generally considered as the rainiest month during monsoon, has seen rainfall seven per cent above the long-period average (LPA), the India Met Department (IMD) said on Tuesday. This has completely wiped out the 11 per cent deficit in June rainfall, since the cumulative rainfall for the first half of the monsoon (June-July) is normal with 0% departure from the LPA.

Rainfall figures for June, July and June-July

(Source: India Met Department)

The Met said that a North-South belt viz West Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu received widespread and rainfall excess rainfall during July.

Since 1970, out of the last 46 years , July month rainfall was below 100 per cent of the LPA during 34 years. During the last 10 years, 2016 is the only year after 2013 and 2010, where July month rainfall has been above 100 per cent.

Meanwhile, the Met said in its extended outlook that rainfall for the country as a whole during second half of the monsoon (August to September) is most likely to be above normal (106 per cent of LPA or above) with a probability of 55 per cent.

Quantitatively, the rainfall is likely to be 107 per cent of LPA with a model error of ±8 per cent . Rainfall during August is likely to be 104 per cent with a model error of ± 9 per cent as was forecast in June.

For the entire season (June to September), rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 106 per cent with a model error of ±4 per cent of LPA as was forecast in June.

Related Topics
comment COMMENT NOW