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As expected, yet another low-pressure area has evolved over East India, but indications are that this could be the last in the current series of the monsoon weather-driving systems.
Indications are that even this 'low' would not be able to make much headway since, contrary to expectations, a predecessor is still active over South Rajasthan and could stay so for two more days.
This would not leave much space for the latest 'low' to travel into Central India, leading it to merge into its more prominent predecessor and settle in an east-to-west trough formation.
The area covered by this trough extending from Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, northern parts of Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and the rest of East India will witness a wet spell until July 29.
Meanwhile, India Met Department (IMD) has forecast heavy to very heavy rain for Gujarat and Gangetic West Bengal today as an active 'low' hung over these areas.
An almost similar outlook is valid for South-West Rajasthan and Jharkhand; South-East Rajasthan and Odisha; East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, hills of Bengal, Sikkim, Chhattisgarh and the North-Eastern states.
Forecasts indicate formation of another monsoon circulation in the Bay around the time the ongoing rain spells weaken out (by the weekend that coincides with the month-end), but this may not last long.
The US Climate Prediction Centre sees largely dry conditions over most parts of the country during the first week of August, except over Kerala and adjoining coastal Karnataka.
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