A good run of the monsoon continued to hold over east-central India and adjoining peninsular India during the 24 hours ending Monday morning.

The rain-driving low-pressure area has crawled over to land and lay over northeast Madhya Pradesh and adjoining north Chhattisgarh.

VIGOROUS PHASE

Model predictions favour a further westward movement to central and west Madhya Pradesh over the next couple of days with associated moderate to heavy rains.

The weather seems to be doing the bidding of India Meteorological Department (IMD) what with more rain forecast for central India during this period.

The IMD said in an update that the monsoon was ‘vigorous’ (heavy to very heavy) over Chhattisgarh overnight until Monday morning.

It was ‘active’ (moderate to heavy) over Jharkhand, east Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and coastal Karnataka.

MORE FORECAST

The low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal, which has since entered land, has also brought back heavy rains over the west coast (Konkan to coastal Karnataka).

An IMD weather warning said that heavy to very heavy rainfall would lash west Madhya Pradesh during the next two days.

Once again it could prove so near, yet so far for Gujarat just to further west, since clouds are likely to get steered towards north India.

But Gujarat is forecast to get rains from a follow-up circulation, which would move in all the way across central India into this state later this week.

SUBDUED IN SOUTH

Meanwhile, a 24-hour weather warning for heavy rain is also valid for east Madhya Pradesh, coastal Karnataka, Konkan and Goa, the IMD said.

An extended forecast valid until Monday next said that rains may lash parts of the plains of northwest India, east and adjoining central India, the northeastern states and the west coast.

But mainly subdued rainfall activity has been forecast for parts of west India and southeast peninsular India.

vinson.kurian@thehindu.co.in

(This article was published on August 6, 2012)
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