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Very severe cyclone Nilofar is now expected to weaken two rounds and cross the Gujarat coast as a minimal cyclone a day later than expected.
The revised date of landfall is Saturday (November 1), an update by India Meteorological Department said this morning.
WESTERN DISTURBANCE
At 8.30 am, Nilofar was traced to 1,110 km southwest of Naliya (Gujarat) and 1,150 km south-southwest of Karachi in Pakistan.
The location was lately closest to Salalah in Oman (820 km), but Nilofar will sustain its track towards that port city only for the next 12 hours.
Later, as expected, an incoming western disturbance from the opposite direction will prevail on Nilofar to taka an about-turn to northeast towards the Gujarat coast.
The Met has once again upgraded the peak wind speeds associated with the system to 140 to 150 km/hr with gusts of 165 km/hr for two days from today.
WIND SPEEDS, ALERT
Nilofar would still be out in the sea when the acceleration happens, and will start weakening from Thursday.
The wind speed at landfall on Saturday morning would be around 80- to 90 km/hr gusting to 100 km/hr.
Sea condition would be ‘rough’ (8- to 13 m in height) to ‘very rough’ (13- to 20 m) from Friday and ‘high’ (20- to 30 ft) on Saturday.
The Met has warned of isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall for Saurashtra and Kutch districts from Friday night.
Thatched roofs and huts may suffer damage from the storm as it crosses land. Power and communication lines are too expected to suffer in the bargain.
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