Silver futures traded on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) have risen sharply over the past week and moved towards ₹39,000 a kg, in line with our expectations.
The contract rallied over 3 per cent last week and is currently trading at ₹39,350.
The global spot silver ($17.7/ounce) surged 8 per cent also led to rise in price of MCX silver. Immediate support for the global spot silver is at $17.5.
As long as it trades above this support level, the current rally can extend further to $18.4 – the 200-day moving average resistance – in the coming days.
A further break above $18.4 can take the price higher to $19 in the short-term.
On the domestic front, the outlook for silver futures is bullish. Key supports are at ₹38,800 and ₹38,500. A rise to ₹40,000 and ₹40,350 is possible in the coming week.
The 200-day moving average at ₹40,350 is a key level to watch. A strong break above this hurdle can take the contract higher to ₹41,000.
Traders with a short-term perspective can go long in this contract at current levels.
Stop-loss can be placed at ₹38,650 for the target of ₹40,250. Intermediate dips to ₹39,000 and ₹38,800 can be used to accumulate more long positions.
Note: The recommendations are based on technical analysis. There is a risk of loss in trading.
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