Forex

Dollar set for biggest weekly drop in a month; US data eyed

Reuters SINGAPORE | Updated on September 06, 2019 Published on September 06, 2019

Against the yen the dollar traded at 108.11 yen, just below last week's high of 108.265, its highest level since August 1.   -  Reuters

Traders bought the Australian dollar and other risky assets this week after the US reported strong economic data and political tension in the UK eased

The dollar edged lower on Friday and was heading for its biggest weekly drop in a month as expectations grew that the Federal Reserve would cut US interest rates this month.

Traders bought the Australian dollar and other risky assets this week after the US reported strong economic data and political tension eased, especially in the UK, where lawmakers moved to block Prime Minister Boris Johnson's efforts to leave the European Union without a transition agreement.

A dollar index slipped 0.1 per cent lower to 98.32 and was down 0.54 per cent so far this week, its biggest weekly drop since early August.

“The latest risk rally rests on a number of pillars like the recent upbeat US data, receding political risks in the UK and hopes for an abatement of the US-China trade tensions,” said Valentin Marinov, head of G-10 FX research and strategy at Credit Agricole in London.

Surveys suggested the US economy was in better shape than investors had feared. Services activity accelerated in August and private employers increased hiring more than expected.

A US non-farm payrolls report due later on Friday was expected to show 158,000 jobs were added and the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.7 per cent in August.

Despite the upbeat data, bond markets expect the Fed to cut interest rates this month. A total of 55 basis points of rate cuts are expected this year.

A combination of likely dovish central banks and decent economic data also encouraged investors to buy the Canadian dollar and the Swedish crown against the US dollar.

China's yuan was mostly flat, though on track for its first weekly gain in three weeks.

“Investors are now hoping they can take this week's positivity over the finishing line, so fingers crossed the August US payroll report ... doesn't throw a damp towel on the proceedings,” said Stephen Innes, Asia Pacific market strategist at AxiTrader.

The optimism of the past few days bolstered the South Korean won and the Australian and New Zealand dollars , setting them on course for their best weekly gains since June, each adding more than a percentage point against the US dollar.

 

 

Published on September 06, 2019
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