Gold & Silver

Gold steady as global growth, trade worries raise safe-haven demand

Reuters Jan 23 | Updated on January 23, 2019 Published on January 23, 2019

Spot gold slipped 0.2 percent to $1,282.97 per ounce. File Photo   -  Reuters

Gold prices stood firm on Wednesday, after gaining the most since January 9 the day before, on higher demand for safe-haven assets over concerns of the slowing global economy and uncertainties about the US-China trade row.

Spot gold was little changed at $1,284.50 per ounce by 0553 GMT, while US gold futures were up 0.1 per cent at $1,284 per ounce.

Spot gold rose 0.4 per cent on Tuesday as global stock markets fell. Asian stocks edged down on Wednesday.

Disappointing macro fundamentals data and a sudden surge in uncertainties surrounding the US- China trade talks have made investors shun riskier assets, fuelling demand for safety, said Margaret Yang, market analyst at CMC Markets.

However, a lack of significant movement in Asian equities was limiting gold's gains, Yang added.

Gold is often used as a hedge against political and economic uncertainty.

“As the risk sentiment is biased towards the bearish side, based on all this data, gold will have more room to go up and potentially challenge the resistance of $1,290-$1,295,” Yang said.

Disappointing economic data from the US and Japan added to the sense of an overall slowdown. US home sales tumbled to their lowest in three years in December, data on Tuesday showed. Meanwhile, Japan export data released on Wednesday fell short of expectations.

Additionally, the Financial Times said the US rejected a Chinese offer for preparatory trade talks this week ahead of high-level negotiations scheduled for next week. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow denied the report.

Also supporting gold was a prolonged partial US government shut-down and expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold its multi-year rate hike cycle, analysts said.

Higher interest rates tend to reduce the appetite for non-yielding bullion. Reflecting investors' appetite for gold, holdings of the SPDR Gold exchange-traded fund (ETF), the largest gold-based ETF, was at its highest since June 2018.

“Steady moves in the dollar even after dovish comments from the Fed and disappointing macro economic data is restricting gold's movement besides its inability to break above the resistance at $1,300,” said Hareesh V, head of commodity research at Geojit Financial Services.

Spot gold may break a support at $1,279 per ounce and fall to the next support at $1,268, as suggested by its wave pattern, a projection analysis and a rising trendline, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Meanwhile, palladium, which hit a record high of $1,434.50 an ounce last week on low inventories and rising demand, fell for a fourth session, dropping 0.3 per cent to $1,345.50.

Silver rose 0.3 per cent to $15.38 an ounce, while platinum was up 0.5 per cent at $792.

Published on January 23, 2019
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