Future tense. Indian bankers in talks as court rulings threaten over $6 billion in loans

Informal talks are taking place to deal with the fall-out from two rulings by the Supreme Court that threaten the repayment of loans totalling nearly ₹500 billion ($6.73 billion) to some of India’s largest banks, bankers close to the matter say.

Any failure to recoup the money adds to stress in the banking sector, which is already dealing with an increased level of bad loans and reduced profits because of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.

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Last week, the Supreme Court effectively blocked Future Group's $3.4-billion sale of retail assets to Reliance Industries, jeopardising nearly $2.69 billion the retail conglomerate owes to Indian banks.

That ruling was delivered days after the Supreme Court rejected a petition to allow telecom companies to approach the Department of Telecommunications to renegotiate outstanding dues in a long-running dispute with Indian telecom players.

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That raises concerns, bankers say, over whether Vodafone Idea will repay some ₹300 billion ($4.04 billion) it owes to Indian banks and billions of dollars more in long-term dues to the government.

Future of Future?

Two bankers, speaking on condition of anonymity, said negotiations were taking place to try to limit potentially severe consequences.

Loans to Future worth nearly ₹200 billion were restructured earlier this year, giving it more time to come up with repayments due over the next two years, but that was on the premise that Reliance would bail it out, the bankers said.

Future group did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Should Future be taken to a bankruptcy court, bankers say they are concerned they will have to take haircuts on the loans of more than 75 per cent.

“The immediate apprehension is that the restructuring deal will fall through for banks by December,” said a banker at a public sector bank that has lent money to Future.

Future’s leading financial creditors include India’s largest lender State Bank of India, along with smaller rivals Bank of Baroda and Bank of India.

Bank of India, the lead bank in the consortium lending to Future, did not immediately respond to an emailed request for comment.

Vodafone Idea

Banks have also started discussing Vodafone’s debt to lenders of nearly ₹300 billion. Top lenders to Vodafone include YES Bank, IDFC First Bank and IndusInd Bank, as well as other private and state-owned lenders.

Vodafone, YES Bank, IDFC First Bank and IndusInd did not immediately respond to a request seeking comment.

“Even though banks have the option of restructuring loans in case the company defaults, it will only make sense if there is clear cash flow visibility, which is not the case right now,” a senior banker at a public sector bank said on condition of anonymity.

Already, at the end of March, Indian banks had total non-performing assets of ₹8.34 trillion ($112.48 billion), the government has said. It has yet to provide more updated figures.

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