An extended forecast valid for the next seven days said that rains are likely over west coast, northwest India, the Northeastern States and adjoining east India.

Central and east India and eastern parts of northwest India are variously expected to come under a heavy monsoon spell during the next few days.

Global forecasts have warned that west Uttar Pradesh and adjoining eastern Nepal could witness some of the heaviest precipitation witnessed yet.

HEAVY SPELL

India Meteorological Department (IMD) too had extended a similar outlook for the Himalayan foothills and adjoining in northwest India.

International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society at Columbia University has predicted ‘unusually heavy’ rains for these areas.

The IMD has warned of heavy to very heavy rainfall for the Jammu division of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during the next two days.

Heavy rainfall is also likely at one or two places over Madhya Pradesh during the next two days and over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Marathawada on Monday.

Meanwhile, a vigorous monsoon, backed up by a low-pressure area, brought an intense wet spell over central India during the 24 hours ending Sunday morning.

MORE TO COME

Vidarbha, Orissa and Chhattisgarh in east-central India; Telangana and south interior Karnataka in south peninsula; and Uttarakhand in northwest gained the most. IMD has forecast thundershowers at many places over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana and west Uttar Pradesh until Wednesday. Madhya Pradesh, west coast and the Northeastern States are expected to get lashed by scattered to moderate showers.

Some rains are indicated for east Rajasthan and adjoining east Gujarat. An extended forecast valid for the next seven days said that rains are likely over west coast, northwest India, the Northeastern States and adjoining east India.

The overall rain deficit for the country as a whole stood at 16 per cent as on Sunday.

There has been a gradual increase in the deficit over east and northeast India in recent times, assessed at 15 per cent latest.

Despite the latest rain surge, the deficit in Central India stood at 10 per cent. The figures for northwest India and south peninsula were 25 per cent and 17 per cent.

vinson.kurian@thehindu.co.in

(This article was published on August 19, 2012)
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