Even as the South-West monsoon races away to end with a flourish by the scheduled September-30 time line, an early peek into the rest of the three months of the year by a South Korean agency suggests that the good tidings may last for the period and even beyond.

The Busan, South Korea-based APEC Climate Centre has made available forecasts for October-November-December that coincide with the North-East monsoon/early winter and further into January-February-March covering the later winter of 2021.


Good monsoon tidings may last into year-end.


Normal NE monsoon

Most parts of the country, except parts of Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Punjab, may see normal to above normal rain during October-November-December. It would be above normal over most of Karnataka, North Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, East Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Bihar, and West Bengal during the three months.

January-March-April could bring slightly deficient rain to the eastern parts of the country and Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining regions. But above normal rain is indicated for Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Karnataka, with the Bay of Bengal providing the fulcrum for the enhanced rain activity.

Low-pressure area dictates

Meanwhile, the latest low-pressure area has brought back a punishing spell of heavy rain to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls over Coastal Karnataka, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Konkan and Goa; Lakshadweep, East Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Saurashtra, Kutch, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry during the 24 hours ending Monday morning.

Some of the heaviest rainfall (in cm) was reported from Agumbe - 27; Kollur - 24; Ankola and Kottigehara - 22; Manki - 21; Mulki and Kadra -16 each: Shirali - 15; Palakonda, Karkala and Sonepur - 14 each; Honavar - 12; Vengurla, Bagasra and Valprai - 11 each; Chinnakalar, Valparai, Bhadrak and Devala - 10 each; Katekalyan, Nanganur, Lanjigarh and Sakti - 9 each; Pusaur, Peermade, Idukki and Junagarh - 8 each; Mangaluru, Kakinada and Agartala - 7 each.


Heavy rain pounds Karnataka

The monsoon fury was evident particularly over Karnataka with the Weather Basics WhatsApp platform reporting that the rain gauge at Udupi Badanidiyoor recorded 54.4 cm on Sunday; Bammarabettu - 42.9 cm; Udupi City - 35.6 cm; Udyavara - 38.2 cm; Kadekar - 40.9 cm; Kapu - 30.0 cm; Kodi - 43.6 c,; Bramhavar - 38.5 cm; and Katpadi 38.4 cm, following relentless pounding.

The Karnataka State Natural Disaster Monitoring Centre said that Udupi taluk received 39.9 mm till 24 hours ending 8.30 am on Sunday; Moodbidri - 18.8 cm; Mangaluru - 16.9 cm; Belthangady - 14.9 cm; Bantwal - 12.9 cm; Puttur - 11.6 cm and Sullia 9.6 cm.