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While the rain deficit is climbing in the East of India, Saurashtra and Kutch to the West looks to improve its position thanks to intermittent showers forecast over the next three days.
Rainfall deficit thus far during the season has been reduced to 70 per cent in Saurashtra and Kutch but the deficit in East India, though comparably smaller, has been inching up.
Engrossing week
West Uttar Pradesh (-50 per cent) and East Uttar Pradesh (-49 per cent) in North-West India joins Jharkhand (-40 per cent) and Bihar (-34 per cent) in the descending order of rainfall deficit till date. They are followed by Assam & Meghalaya (-31 per cent); Bengal and Arunachal Pradesh (-27 per cent); and Odisha (-25 per cent) in that order.
Elsewhere in the East (and North-East), Nagaland-Manipur-Mizoram-Tripura (-21 per cent) and East Madhya Pradesh present relatively better scenarios and which are considered 'manageable' deficits.
All eyes are now turned to the emerging low-pressure areas over the North Bay of Bengal in quick succession - the first as early in the next 24 hours and the second, four to five days later. The backdrop is otherwise set for what could likely be an engrossing week for monsoon watchers, with a focus on the track of these 'low's over land and the spread of rainfall.
Active monsoon
An India Met Department (IMD) outlook said that the ongoing active monsoon conditions over Central India and the South Peninsula may continue for another four to five days. Rainfall activity is likely to increase over parts of North-West India from today. But, East and North-East India are likely to witness subdued rainfall conditions at least during the next two-three days.
Outlook for today said that East Gujarat may witness heavy to very heavy rain at a few places with extremely heavy rain at isolated places. Konkan and Goa also may get lashed by heavy rain at a few places with very heavy rain at isolated places, while it would be heavy to very heavy rain over Uttrakhand, Madhya Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Kerala.
Heavy rain has been forecast over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, East Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha, Odisha, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Saurashtra & Kutch, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu.
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