As predicted, a low-pressure area has formed in the Bay of Bengal off the Andhra Pradesh-Odisha coasts on Tuesday whose behaviour and lateral movement will be closely watched.

India Met Department expects the system to cross the Andhra Pradesh coast and in fact drive up the monsoon flows for a couple of days (Thursday and Friday).

Rains spread It would travel north and may weaken over east Madhya Pradesh and southern parts of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar and dissipate over region by the weekend.

The monsoon has been active over Telangana, coastal Karnataka and Kerala during the 24 hours ending on Tuesday morning, a Met Department update said.

South-easterly monsoon winds generated by the ‘low’ from the Bay of Bengal are fanning into north and northwest India where a western disturbance is checking in from across the border.

Already, the interaction between opposing wind regimes is producing heavy rain over central India, north-west India and east India.

Overall deficit This will continue in varying intensities over north, north-west and east India until the weekend, according to the US Climate Prediction Centre.

What this means is that large parts of peninsula, which is reeling under a deficit of 21 per cent as of Tuesday, will be bereft of any significant rain although isolated showers are forecast for some.

The overnight rain over Telangana, Kerala and coastal Karnataka has prevented the deficit for the country as a whole from deteriorating from the nine per cent of the previous day.

In fact, the peninsula managed to cut its shortfall by one percentage point to 21 per cent. The deficit in central India is at nine per cent and in east and northeast India, 11 per cent.

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