Broker's call: Asian Paints (Reduce)

| Updated on May 13, 2019 Published on May 14, 2019

Geojit Financial

Asian Paints (Reduce)

CMP: ₹1,332.9

Target: ₹1,269

Asian Paints is engaged in the business of manufacturing, selling and distribution of paints, coatings, products related to home decor, bath fittings and providing of related services. The company’s business segments are Paints and Home Improvement. The Home Improvement segment includes its bath fittings business. Its geographical segments are domestic and international operations.

Asian paints’ (APNT), is the market leader in the Indian paint manufacturing industry with a market share of about 53 per cent. Q4FY19 revenue grew by 12 per cent year-on-year (below estimate) aided by double digit volume growth about 10 per cent. However, inferior product mix, trade discounts and higher employee cost led to decline in EBITDA margin by 230bps year-on-year to 16.4 per cent.

While higher depreciation (42 per cent year-on-year) and interest cost (68 per cent year-on-year) dragged earnings to a de-growth of –2 per cent year-on-year.

Volume growth is likely to stabilise at double digit but inferior mix and increase in overhead cost on account of commissioning of new plant will impact margins.

We reduce FY20E/21E earnings estimate by 10 per cent/8 per cent, respectively. However high valuation and weak demand outlook will be a near term challenge. We therefore revise our rating to ‘Reduce’ and value at a P/E of 40x on FY21E EPS.

Published on May 14, 2019
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