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The dollar stuck to its recent ranges in holiday-thinned trading on Friday and stocks edged up as investors awaited key US employment figures for clues on when the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose about 0.3 per cent, while Japan’s Nikkei stock average added 0.2 per cent. Wall Street logged modest gains ahead of the holiday after two losing sessions.
Most US markets will be closed on Friday, when non-farm payrolls are expected to show an increase of 245,000 jobs in March, following a gain of 290,000 in February.
“The Japanese market will likely stay directionless until investors see how US markets react to the data,’’ said Fujio Ando, senior managing director at Chibagin Securities.
Data on Thursday showing an unexpected fall in the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits raised hopes for a another strong labour reading, but not all strategists were convinced that the consensus expectation would be met.
“We believe that payrolls will fall short of the market’s 245,000 forecast. Yet the dollar will also be influenced by changes in the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings,’’ Kathy Lien, managing director for FX strategy at BK Asset Management, said in a note.
“So if earnings rise or the unemployment rate improves, it could limit the losses in the dollar if the absolute amount of job growth falls short of expectations,’’ she wrote.
A weaker-than-expected jobs report would prompt investors to increase bets that the Fed might hold off on raising interest rates until late this year.
Against the yen, the dollar was nearly flat on the day at 119.68. The euro edged down about 0.1 per cent to $1.0870 after rallying more than 1 per cent in the previous session as investors pared dollar-long positions ahead of the holiday week-end and the US jobs data.
The common currency shrugged off minutes from the ECB’s March 5 meeting that showed monetary policymakers agreed to “remain firm’’ in implementing their quantitative easing programme, even though the euro zone’s economic outlook was improving.
Brent oil fell nearly 4 per cent on Thursday after a preliminary pact between Iran and global powers on Tehran’s nuclear programme, even as officials set further talks in June and analysts questioned when the OPEC member will be allowed to export more crude.
Spot gold was slightly down at $1,201.26 an ounce, on track to end the week flat after a two-week climb.
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