Prabhudas Lilladher
Tata Motors (Buy)
CMP: ₹305.3
Target: ₹378
Tata Motors held its Investor day where the management discussed in detail about its medium-to-long term strategy (Turnaround 2.0) for the domestic business. With focus on topline growth, customer centricity, process improvement, agile cost management and a lean and accountable organisation, the management reiterated the following key objectives: 1) Regaining market share in both commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles (up 70 bps in CVs and up 50 bps in PV for FY18); 2) EBIT margin target of 3-5 per cent between FY19-21 and 5-7 per cent in the long run (FY18 EBIT margins at 0.8 per cent) 3) Higher free cash-flow generation due to better operating performance and investments within affordable limits.
Valuations: We welcome the increased disclosures and disinvestments from loss-making/non-core subsidiaries. Management’s focus on improving the performance of the standalone entity is now clearly visible and we expect it to continue. The near-term outlook for JLR, however, remains muted both for volumes and profitability, EBIT margin target of ~7-9 per cent (earlier 8-10 per cent) mainly due to accelerated product development expenses. With JLR’s full product range available in EV/Hybrid variants from 2020 gives us further confidence. Given the attractive valuations and buoyant management guidance, we maintain ‘buy’.
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