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Most part of Central India and East India (except parts of extreme North and North-West India) may come under the influence of the monsoon during June 9 to 15.
This is as per an extended range weather forecast by India Met Department (IMD) in association with Indian Council of Agricultural Research, All India Coordinated Research Project on Agricultural Meteorology, and Central Research Institute for Dryland Agriculture, Hyderabad.
ACTIVE MONSOON
The week leading up to the onset of the monsoon (May 25 to 31) saw the country as a whole receiving 17 per cent more rain than normal.
Western Maharasthra, Gujarat, Jammu & Kashmir, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim were the only aberration from this trend.
Meanwhile, active monsoon conditions are expected to establish in association with the 'shear line' over Central India as supported by circulation over both the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal.
Presently, conditions are likely becoming favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of South Peninsula, Arabian Sea ,and Bay of Bengal by June 7.
The extended range forecast indicates that the rainfall belt during June 2 to 8 will hover over the southern peninsula (particularly over the west coast), North-Eastern States and Gangetic West Bengal.
RAINFALL TREND
Meanwhile, normal or above normal rainfall occurred during last two weeks in Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, East Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Coastal Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. Normal or above normal rainfall occurred in either of the last two weeks in Haryana, Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Konka,nGoa, Vidarbha, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Kerala.
Below normal rainfall or no rain occurred in the last two weeks over Jammu & Kashmir, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, East Gujarat and North Interior Karnataka.
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