Economy

Titan shines with rally as festive outlook shakes off virus woes

Bloomberg September 30 | Updated on September 30, 2020 Published on September 30, 2020

Titan Co has jumped nearly 23 per cent in the quarter ending September 30, the most since the three months ended December 2017   -  GRN Somashekar

Titan also stands to gain from the financial distress faced by smaller jewellers following the lockdown

India’s biggest gold jeweller is emerging stronger from the coronavirus pandemic. Shares are heading for the best quarter in nearly three years as investors bet on a recovery in demand ahead of the key festive season and as an economic slump weakens its competitors.

Titan Co has jumped nearly 23 per cent in the quarter ending September 30, the most since the three months ended December 2017. That compares with a near 9 per cent increase in the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex.

The rally comes as local gold prices head for a second consecutive monthly loss, capping gains of about 30 per cent this year. The drop in prices, while still near record highs, comes ahead of India’s festival season that gathers pace from mid-October and peaks around Diwali, which falls in November this year.

Also read: Will gold prices continue to fall?

Buying and gifting of gold is usually considered auspicious during this period by Hindus and with consumers in the world’s second-biggest buyer getting used to high prices, any correction is likely to lead to a rush to stores, ICICI Securities Ltd said in a note last week.

“Gold itself being in a bull market has catapulted the stock,” said Sanjiv Bhasin, Director at IIFL Securities Ltd. “Additionally, Indians’ spending by nature is very, very strong on gold and the festival season should bode very well for a pedigree stock like Titan.”

Titan also stands to gain from the financial distress faced by smaller jewellers after the economy contracted 23.9 per cent last quarter following one of the world’s strictest lockdowns. Regional unorganised jewellers are under pressure from liquidity constraints, funding issues and limited ability to sell online, providing bigger companies like Titan an opportunity to gain market share, ICICI Securities said.

Also read: Gold jewellery demand may fall by 40%

India’s gold demand has been slammed this year by lockdowns imposed from March end to control the coronavirus outbreak. While the restrictions have been slowly eased over the last couple of months, jewellers are staring at record-low sales of the precious metal as the economy contracts sharply and prices remain near all-time highs.

“When gold prices go up, the inventory value goes up. So that is one factor, which will help Titan as its margins will improve,” said AK Prabhakar, head of research at IDBI Capital Market Services Ltd. “So even if there is a 10 per cent-20 per cent dip in revenue, their margins compensate in big numbers.”

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Published on September 30, 2020
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