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Reliance Industries: Uncertain still for shareholders

Krishnan Thiagarajan

THE dice were always heavily loaded in favour of Mr Mukesh Ambani, ever since this high voltage tussle between the two brothers — Mukesh and Anil Ambani — spilled into the public domain. Even as shareholders and other public observers expected the board meeting of Reliance Industries (RIL) held on December 27, the first since the squabble broke out in mid-November, to be a stormy one, it turned out to be a rather tame affair.

First of all, the entire board (with the exception of Mr Anil Ambani) cast its lot with Mr Mukesh Ambani reiterating full faith and confidence in his leadership. No surprises here, given that in an earlier board meeting, on July 27, the RIL board had gone along with Mukesh's decision to redefine and effectively clip the powers of Anil as Vice-Chairman and Managing Director.

Second, since RIL derives considerable advantages from the prevailing integrated structure with presence across the entire petrochemical and refining chain, the board decided to keep it intact.

Finally, settling all ambiguity over large projects proposed by Reliance group companies, the board also proposed to put in place a suitable mechanism requiring RIL's approval, if necessary. Seen from RIL shareholders' perspective, these decisions are a heartening, though predictable, outcome.

In contrast, however, on at least two crucial issues that were on the agenda, the RIL board appears to have exercised kid glove treatment and failed to take any decisive steps to restore confidence in the stock.

Over the past few weeks, there have been startling disclosures on the nature of RIL's investments in Reliance Infocomm. Given the scale of investments (about Rs 12,000 crore) by RIL, the board appears to have glossed over several serious corporate governance questions:

  • Why was the conversion price on preference shares not decided at the time of issue (even assuming a 10-year lock-in for these shares)? Why was no conversion contemplated in October/November last year when Reliance Infocomm had converted from a limited mobility to a full-blown mobile licence and the subscriber numbers were 5 million as opposed to over 10 million at present? Mr Anil Ambani claiming twice — in November 2003 and April this year — that the conversion price was unfair to RIL allegedly stalled this.

  • Was it right for RIL to expose its shareholders, without their knowledge, to financial risks relating to preference share investments, financial/performance guarantees issued and substantial receivables carried in Reliance Infocomm's books?

  • Was the RIL board privy to the sweat equity arrangement in which 12 per cent of the equity of Reliance Communication Infrastructure (holding company of Reliance Infocomm) was issued to Mukesh on reaching certain milestones?

    At the latest board meeting, it was said that the sweat equity option acquired by Mukesh did not involve infringement of any laws or regulations. But Mukesh had annulled this equity stake worth Rs 50 crore in the run-up to the board meeting.

    In this backdrop, the RIL board at its latest meeting decided to constitute a committee of six independent directors, which will arrive at a fair price and determine the right timing for conversion. This seems intended to buy time for Mukesh and other promoter affiliates who hold a substantial equity stake in Reliance Communications Infrastructure (the holding company of Reliance Infocomm). From the point of view of RIL shareholders, it is only fair to demand that the preference shares be converted at par, as suggested by Mr Anil Ambani as the brunt of the financial and operational risks has been borne by RIL. By doing so, the RIL holding in Reliance Infocomm will go up to 75 per cent from 43 per cent. By leaving it to a Committee, there is a distinct possibility that conversion pricing will lead to RIL ending with even less than 51 per cent equity in Reliance Infocomm.

    Buyback, a poor choice

    Early last week, the RIL board chose the open market buyback route through stock exchanges fixing a maximum price of Rs 570 per share and an aggregate amount of Rs 2,999 crore for the purpose. From academic literature, it is clear that buybacks using the tender offer route sends the most credible and powerful information signal, while open market buyback through stock exchanges have the least signalling effect.

    Basically, by design, open market buybacks are not firm commitments, and hence are left entirely to the discretion of the management. As RIL did not pick up a single equity share during its last buyback programme, which was open twice for nearly a year each in 2001 and 2002, its credibility is low. Buyback was not the only option before the RIL board. It could have easily considered three other initiatives to correct under-valuation in the stock:

    An assurance from the board that the equity of RIL in Reliance Infocomm will remain above 51 per cent at all times could have worked well for the RIL stock. The value of the integrated telecom business (including mobile) has not been fully impounded in the valuation of RIL.

    With this assurance and given the fact that Reliance Infocomm is conservatively valued between Rs 20,000 crore and Rs 40,000 crore, there would have been a re-rating of the stock.

    Clarity on the relationship with Reliance Energy could have cleared this uncertainty among investors, both in RIL and Reliance Energy, affecting valuation to a large extent.

    To improve corporate governance practices, RIL has appointed Mr Y. P. Trivedi and Mr M. P. Modi as independent directors representing RIL in Reliance Infocomm and Reliance Communication Infrastructure.

    Instead of appointing the existing independent directors, RIL could have, to infuse greater confidence, considered broad basing the existing base of six independent directors (most of them long time associates of the group) in a 12-member board, by inducting more directors.

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