The Hindu Business Line : Fresh rain alert for Konkan, Mumbai, Gujarat

Thiruvananthapuram, July 8 Konkan and Gujarat, including Mumbai, are under renewed threat from flooding rains as a monsoon depression located over east Madhya Pradesh on Sunday prepared to move in a west-northwest direction.

A warning issued by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said that widespread rainfalls with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls are likely over southwest Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and southeast Rajasthan during the next two days.

Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is also likely over Konkan and Goa, including Mumbai, madhya Maharashtra, Saurashtra and Kutch, east Rajasthan and northwest Madhya Pradesh during the same period. Indications are that the rains could last longer should local weather features expectedly combine in a suitable manner.

A persisting circulation from an earlier depression and an incoming western disturbance from across the border make things potentially unpredictable.

In the short term, monsoon easterlies originating from the Bay of Bengal are seen interacting with the western disturbance to make a splash over the western Himalayan region and the adjoining plains in northwest India over the next three days.

OUTLOOK FOR BAY

Going forward, the IMD sees activity in the Bay of Bengal receding with a part of the monsoon flows splitting ways to the south and getting directed into the stream that goes to feed a brewing typhoon in the west Pacific. But this doesn’t affect the Arabian Sea much, where the flows would be strong enough to keep the west coast under a wet cover.

The European Centre for Medium Term Weather Forecasting is still hopeful of some disturbance prematurely ending the calm in the Bay but largely concentrated to the south and southwest.

This might set off some weather in the southeastern parts of the peninsula for a few days.

The core of the Arabian Sea flows that defy the call of the west Pacific would extend across central India into the east and interact with the flows associated with the western disturbance to trigger rainfall along the Himalayan foothills.

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